0x9fcc916163d76d053042a231998ad0eacce3aefc
0x9fcc916163d76d053042a231998ad0eacce3aefc
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$13.67
Total PnL
$-1.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 17?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$2.89
$0.70
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.74
$0.55
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.73
$0.54
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
7 shares @ 31.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.44
$0.25
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
7 shares @ 31.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.37
$0.18
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
9 shares @ 25.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.39
$-1.80
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.12
$-2.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?$2.25Aug 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 17?$2.26Aug 16, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$0.00Aug 16, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$3.00Aug 16, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?$3.98Aug 15, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 14, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 14, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$4.87Aug 14, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$2.24Aug 14, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$2.19Aug 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?$2.23Aug 13, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?$2.23Aug 12, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$8.76Aug 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?$2.26Aug 12, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$2.19Aug 12, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?$5.47Aug 11, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?$2.24Aug 11, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$3.22Aug 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.19Aug 8, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?$2.86Aug 7, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.