Wallet profile

Repulsive-Colloquy-Sweatshirt

0x9fcfbb4a9b536e5ba8cb0abe812f7fd9abbee455

activity 75/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

75/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

35

Open notional

$29.5K

Total PnL

$-50.4K

Realised

$-30.7K

Win rate

50%

16 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 35

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$56.4K

Trades

3

Buy share

82%

Window

Jun 23, 23:50 UTC → Jul 6, 03:04 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $15.0K

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

28/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

50% win rate over 16 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
review

44 live trades, 7 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$20.1K

3 trades

Buy share

82%

Sample

limited

7 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

$44.9K · 80% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will England win on 2026-07-05?80% of recorded volume$44.9KPanama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.511% of recorded volume$6.4KWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?9% of recorded volume$5.1K

Profile dimensions

Activity57 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence53 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry20 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk74 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
44
Avg trade size
$259.92
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 21, 18:38 UTC
Last active
Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
Win rate sample
16 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on PolymarketView on Polygonscan
updated 21:28:32 UTC·src:Polymarket Data