Irresponsible-Supply
0x9fd8e3b55fc2bdab22fcd49f5a7696d501ce01f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$17.72
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$93.58
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
27 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$17.17
$0.14
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
57 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.03
$-5.71
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1256 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
616 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-229.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 23?
606 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-27.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
552 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-201.00
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
485 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.06
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
447 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-120.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$10.21Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$10.27Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5$52.87Jun 11, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$17.22Jun 11, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$16.42Jun 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$1.00Jun 7, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$15.00Jun 7, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$15.00Jun 7, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$15.00Jun 7, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$9.00Jun 7, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$1.00Jun 7, 20:14 UTC
- MERGEIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.83Jun 7, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$53.00Jun 7, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$59.00Jun 7, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$58.70Jun 7, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$68.00Jun 7, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$68.82Jun 7, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$85.00Jun 7, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$25.94May 12, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00May 12, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.