Awful-Photo
0x9fe11df1ad021782aef4cb4c6a6920bacaca0622
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$39.92
Total PnL
$-10.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
14 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$14.00
$0.27
- NO
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$10.00
$0.02
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 82.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.45
$1.16
- NO
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$5.00
$3.00
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMValorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner$60.00Mar 7, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner$8.29Mar 7, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner$50.64Mar 7, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner$1.01Mar 7, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?$2.00Mar 7, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$8.29Mar 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$9.98Mar 6, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.10Mar 6, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$80.00Mar 6, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$79.92Mar 4, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$1.00Mar 4, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSet 1 Winner: Krueger vs McNally$83.58Mar 4, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$13.73Mar 4, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Krueger vs McNally$4.95Mar 3, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Krueger vs McNally$4.95Mar 3, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Krueger vs McNally$12.86Mar 3, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Krueger vs McNally$60.00Mar 3, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?$0.46Mar 1, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?$0.04Mar 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?$0.01Mar 1, 05:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 22:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.