Aggravating-Venue
0x9ffa29de0ad92ac5fb9ce15fb01dbfd599e64638
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$72.44
Total PnL
$-317.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.68
$0.68
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
166 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.13
$-0.83
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.93
$0.93
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.20
$-5.80
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
25 shares @ 41.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-7.75
- YES
Will "Ten Days - Fred again.." win Best Dance/Electronic Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Assad leaves Russia before 2026?
161 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.61
- SENEGAL
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- BLUE JAYS
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$50.00Jul 1, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance$51.24Jul 1, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$119.05Jun 30, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance$50.90Jun 29, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$50.87Jun 29, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMHezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?$9.09May 21, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$9.62May 21, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$36.11May 21, 22:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 5, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $50.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.