0xa0035f180813cd90ab005cadbba28f4aa84460c4
0xa0035f180813cd90ab005cadbba28f4aa84460c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$17.17
Total PnL
$-30.25
Realised
$3.30
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
6 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$6.06
$0.84
- NO
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
6 shares @ 77.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$6.06
$1.39
- NO
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
5 shares @ 78.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$5.05
$1.07
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 29?
6 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29?
6 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- UP
XRP Up or Down on January 29?
6 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on February 7?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down on March 9?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on March 9?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 29?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on March 10?$1.89Mar 12, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on March 10?$1.06Mar 9, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on March 11?$1.05Mar 9, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 11?$1.05Mar 9, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 11?$1.05Mar 9, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on March 9?$3.42Mar 9, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 9?$1.05Mar 9, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on March 9?$2.40Mar 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on March 9?$2.40Mar 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 9?$1.12Mar 9, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$1.27Mar 9, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$0.00Mar 8, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$0.00Mar 8, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on January 14?$1.06Mar 8, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on February 10?$1.49Feb 10, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on February 9?$1.49Feb 9, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on February 9?$1.49Feb 9, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on February 9?$1.49Feb 9, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on February 9?$0.83Feb 8, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 9?$0.92Feb 8, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.