Wide-Western
0xa00beb378b357286fae8db803558030e917e373e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$20.79
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
0%
198 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
41 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$20.79
$-0.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
69 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
67 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 3?
62 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
60 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
59 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
55 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-30.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
48 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
46 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-24.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 3?
45 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-24.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$21.72Aug 19, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$13.70Aug 19, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$28.57Aug 19, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$44.90Aug 19, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$3.25Aug 19, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$17.61Aug 19, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.74Aug 19, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$19.69Aug 19, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.81Aug 19, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$8.38Aug 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$10.19Aug 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$22.79Aug 19, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$14.50Aug 19, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$31.89Aug 19, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$18.59Aug 19, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$35.39Aug 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$18.65Aug 19, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$31.66Aug 19, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$16.56Aug 19, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$17.66Aug 19, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
60/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 198 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
198 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $16.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 22:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 198 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.