0xa00d757e4259ae2454130ee8541c6d52cb306ffd
0xa00d757e4259ae2454130ee8541c6d52cb306ffd
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-781.86
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?
5033 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-97.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 29°F or below on February 12?
4273 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-109.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 12?
3475 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-47.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on February 12?
2746 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-54.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 12?
1655 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-209.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 13?
1417 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-59.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 13?
1080 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 13?
869 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 55°F or below on February 12?
829 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 12?
682 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$0.98Jun 15, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$19.70Jun 15, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10PM ET$20.00Jun 15, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$20.00Jun 15, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$20.00Jun 15, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$21.00Jun 15, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI? $0.11Jun 15, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Jun 15, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Jun 15, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10PM ET$0.00Jun 15, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Jun 15, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Jun 15, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 12?$0.51Jun 15, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 13?$0.65Jun 15, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 13?$0.90Jun 15, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 13?$1.00Jun 15, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 15?$5.50Jun 15, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 12?$7.75Jun 15, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on February 15?$18.00Jun 15, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 03:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.