Useful-Commotion
0xa012ffe1f9db84f6ec2ab2e2f51f5e39c7aa04a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4AM ET
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Honor" during events with Japanese PM?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Hormuz" during Michigan visit?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 2?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 27?$1.00Mar 27, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 26?$1.00Mar 26, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 6+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26?$1.00Mar 26, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.22Mar 24, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1PM ET$0.99Mar 24, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.69Mar 23, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.31Mar 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?$1.00Mar 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 21, 6AM ET$1.00Mar 21, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.73Mar 21, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.00Mar 21, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.30Mar 21, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".