Same-Engineering
0xa0140e2bbc0dbf3d904d324e552356c9658dbd1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-51.8K
Realised
$293.34
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
37259 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-21.6K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
28571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
25170 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
11185 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
5018 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-399.41
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
3846 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
3788 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-598.13
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2300 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2130 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2009 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$13.61Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.61Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$103.83Jul 11, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$22.0KJul 11, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$22.0KJul 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$13.4KJul 10, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$248.49Jul 10, 11:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.00Jul 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.50Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$19.01Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$16.50Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$7.50Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.50Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.50Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.60Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$15.00Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$76.50Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$3.50Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$7.00Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $804.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.