Fearful-Loop
0xa014e93dce8b8960ebae2210326497d01eb2fe46
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-92.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 10?
958 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 21?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?
86 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on April 8?
79 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?
73 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on April 1?
52 shares @ 83.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-43.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 27?
48 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20?
41 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 7?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20?$10.38May 20, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?$0.00May 20, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?$28.31May 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?$28.02May 14, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?$5.10May 14, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?$1.26May 7, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 7?$0.85May 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 7?$1.04May 7, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 7?$5.16May 7, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?$5.15May 7, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?$21.28May 6, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?$20.06May 6, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$2.00May 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?$5.71May 5, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?$2.07May 5, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$1.02Apr 30, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?$1.04Apr 30, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?$1.04Apr 28, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?$1.02Apr 28, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$5.09Apr 28, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $10.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.