Puny-Sandpaper-Dromedary
0xa0161e41c059c3c6662d96f7f07226dbfb6067c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$169.47
Total PnL
$-2.25
Realised
$3.56
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 10?
34 shares @ 20.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$13.43
$6.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 11?
32 shares @ 27.7¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$10.54
$1.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 11?
45 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$9.22
$0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 10?
36 shares @ 23.8¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$7.81
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?
32 shares @ 24.8¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$7.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 10?
48 shares @ 18.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$6.45
$-2.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 10?
41 shares @ 14.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$5.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?
20 shares @ 24.6¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$5.60
$0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?
22 shares @ 23.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$5.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 10?
23 shares @ 21.8¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$4.36
$-0.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?$2.84Jul 9, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?$2.84Jul 9, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?$7.15Jul 9, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 10?$0.18Jul 9, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 10?$0.15Jul 9, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 10?$0.36Jul 9, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 10?$0.24Jul 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 10?$0.34Jul 9, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 10?$0.31Jul 9, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?$1.02Jul 9, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?$1.04Jul 9, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 11?$1.04Jul 9, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?$1.04Jul 9, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?$1.04Jul 9, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 11?$1.01Jul 9, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 10?$1.04Jul 9, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 10?$1.04Jul 9, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 11?$1.04Jul 9, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?$1.04Jul 9, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 10?$1.04Jul 9, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.