Sophisticated-Thunderstorm
0xa0240325165d51fd458bc969e02c1a9d8ce946f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.35
Total PnL
$-22.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
69 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.59
$-2.07
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
118 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before July?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI release a dLLM by June 30?$1.00Apr 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$10.00Apr 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMElon out of Trump administration in 2025?$27.78Apr 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk's security clearance revoked before July?$7.00Jun 10, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?$10.00Mar 2, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon out of Trump administration in 2025?$10.00Mar 2, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".