Variable-Consciousness
0xa02f6fa286b44ef8fdca75613211ec4b5ba76f93
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?$1.00Apr 5, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 24-31?$1.79Apr 5, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?$4.02Apr 5, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?$1.00Feb 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?$1.00Feb 10, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?$1.83Feb 10, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 24-31?$1.00Jan 31, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?$1.10Jan 31, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.