Crafty-Assessment
0xa03d46f8b75c47b99bb8bd8676888aeed48f8df8
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$2.21
Total PnL
$-128.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
667 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?
284 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
224 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025?
181 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Denmark win the 2025 IIHF World Championship?
176 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.06May 13, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.07May 13, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.07May 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.07May 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$1.07May 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.05May 13, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 12?$1.07May 12, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06May 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$10.45May 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$2.00Mar 27, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$5.00Mar 27, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 31, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$2.00Jan 4, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?$1.00Dec 19, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?$1.00Dec 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?$1.00Dec 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$1.00Dec 19, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?$1.00Dec 19, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 17, 05:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".