Raw-Walnut
0xa03d9393d7be25815ad6d3e309a37b205ca43a7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-103.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$10.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
136 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-42.50
- YES
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
80 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-24.72
- NO
Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Biden say "Folks" three or more times during drop out speech?
30 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2024$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
23 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Biden say "Obama" during drop out speech?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2024$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
14 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
DNC open convention?
11 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Jul 26, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Obama" during drop out speech?$6.80Jul 24, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala be Nominee before Convention?$5.50Jul 24, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden say "Resign" during drop out speech?$5.40Jul 24, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Folks" three or more times during drop out speech?$7.20Jul 24, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Resign" during drop out speech?$6.60Jul 24, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden make an appearance today?$3.00Jul 23, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$7.50Jul 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$5.00Jul 23, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$3.09Jul 23, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$21.63Jul 23, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDNC open convention?$4.00Jul 22, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.00Jul 22, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$35.00Jul 22, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $8.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".