Upset-Hotdog
0xa04fa895c3c3a8e41af501892f2992c4fbe84af6
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$7.21
Total PnL
$-19.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
446 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.13
$-2.01
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.09
$0.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
9140 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
9068 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
4570 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
4534 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2495 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2350 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2331 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2325 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.14Mar 20, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 14?$7.13Mar 20, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 14?$7.06Feb 4, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$1.02Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$1.42Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.58Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMIran Nuke in 2025?$2.04Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 8, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$1.40Dec 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.56Dec 9, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke in 2025?$2.00Nov 25, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Nov 12, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Nov 12, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Nov 12, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4.5KNov 12, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$4.8KNov 12, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$381.79Nov 12, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$4.2KNov 12, 07:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $678.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 05:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".