Past-Bill
0xa04faed10ce0f78ddea0a3e98d4a715893be13b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$112.79
Total PnL
$0.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
22 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$22.47
$0.07
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$20.12
$0.12
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.10
$0.10
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$22.40Feb 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$20.00Feb 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 26, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$20.00Feb 26, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?$20.00Feb 26, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?$10.00Feb 26, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$20.02Feb 26, 10:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $27.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.