0xa05ba2eb3dd8e44e0fd29d830e44770e42b4610e
0xa05ba2eb3dd8e44e0fd29d830e44770e42b4610e
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.15
Realised
$-7.15
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5
154 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 1?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on March 1?
150 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 23°F or below on March 1?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on March 1?
150 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 1?
90 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
Will Solana dip to $80 on March 11?
86 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on March 1?
82 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 18?
23 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 38°F or higher on March 1?
10 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on March 17?$1.95Mar 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIvica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5$1.84Mar 17, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIvica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5$1.91Mar 17, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22?$0.77Mar 15, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22?$1.05Mar 15, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 18?$1.12Mar 12, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 18?$1.85Mar 12, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 March 9-15?$2.97Mar 12, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 12?$0.17Mar 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 12?$1.10Mar 12, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 12?$3.89Mar 12, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 12?$2.64Mar 12, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 18?$1.35Mar 12, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 12?$2.56Mar 12, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?$4.81Mar 12, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?$2.60Mar 12, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?$2.46Mar 12, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 9-15?$1.98Mar 12, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 9-15?$2.13Mar 12, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.