Delicious-Residue
0xa06496dc250f88ad3a0f2890b820bd8aab72b8fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$7.55
Total PnL
$-62.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.42
$0.42
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 12.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.34
$-1.66
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.03
$-1.07
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?
55 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
20 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$9.09Jun 16, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$3.28Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?$1.03Jun 10, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 10, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.03Jun 10, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$3.07Jun 10, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$2.03Jun 10, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$2.08Jun 10, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?$1.03Jun 10, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$1.03Jun 10, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 3 Uruguay?$1.03Jun 10, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.02Jun 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador?$1.02Jun 10, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.03Jun 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay?$1.03Jun 10, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa?$1.03Jun 10, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?$1.03Jun 10, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 10, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win?$2.08Mar 8, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand$2.00Mar 8, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.