Hefty-Downturn
0xa065bd3de891257691dac7eef5152e632f96999e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$50.14
Total PnL
$-46.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
14 shares @ 92.7¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.29
$0.29
- FINLAND
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$9.30
$-0.70
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.45
$0.05
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.10
$1.31
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.75
$-0.35
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
300 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.05
$-7.05
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.40
$0.40
- HUNGARY
World Championships: USA vs. Hungary
40 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.04
$0.01
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.52
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
371 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland$10.15May 25, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: USA vs. Hungary$1.06May 25, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Slovakia vs. Canada$12.00May 25, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Finland vs. Austria$29.10May 25, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Slovakia vs. Canada$10.60May 24, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Norway vs. Sweden$9.98May 24, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Norway vs. Sweden$0.45May 23, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Finland vs. Austria$28.03May 23, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Norway vs. Sweden$0.44May 23, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$10.00May 23, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Norway vs. Sweden$0.11May 23, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Finland vs. Great Britain$20.00May 22, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Finland vs. Great Britain$19.67May 21, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Latvia vs. Finland$10.00May 21, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$7.40May 21, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$1.28May 20, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: USA vs. Germany$2.45May 20, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$5.17May 20, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$8.65May 19, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Latvia vs. Finland$9.03May 19, 09:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 05:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".