Shallow-Development
0xa0665da3fac6feac67a096fe1986694742dfbfd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-1.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
26166 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-295.57
- YES
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
15120 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-548.85
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?
7366 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-598.18
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
5977 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-341.64
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?
5914 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-82.29
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?
3708 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-24.87
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?
2305 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-67.63
- YES
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 20% and 25% of the vote in the South Korea election?
1665 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-65.12
- YES
Han Duck-soo presidential unity ticket with PPP?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Yoon arrested by July 15?
892 shares @ 67.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-599.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$9.01Jul 5, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLYoon arrested by July 15?$9.00Jul 5, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by July 15?$5.72Jul 1, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by July 15?$52.35Jul 1, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by July 15?$2.23Jul 1, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by July 15?$2.23Jul 1, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by July 15?$11.21Jul 1, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by July 15?$133.80Jul 1, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by July 15?$402.00Jul 1, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLYoon in jail before July?$24.12Jun 28, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon in jail before July?$6.70Jun 27, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon in jail before July?$55.70Jun 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon in jail before July?$17.60Jun 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 24?$88.40Jun 24, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 24?$358.75Jun 24, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 24?$14.81Jun 24, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Iran on June 24?$125.64Jun 24, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 24?$456.45Jun 24, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 24?$33.15Jun 24, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLYoon in jail before July?$5.06Jun 24, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $58.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.