Minor-Airbus-Editorial
0xa06e220fd4610c1f43b2e0e792a664da12e2f56f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$5.6K
Realised
$5.5K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
7937 shares @ 16.4¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.9K
$601.29
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
15031 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.2K
$-149.98
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4734 shares @ 12.2¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$579.87
$2.37
- NO
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2588 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$245.83
$12.94
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$165.00
$-235.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?
10424 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.21
$-99.87
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.08Jul 1, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$23.79Jul 1, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.59Jul 1, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.54Jul 1, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.52Jul 1, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.61Jul 1, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.89Jul 1, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$436.91Jul 1, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$0.00Jul 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$9.00Jul 1, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$292.92Jul 1, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$4.09Jul 1, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.10Jul 1, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?$100.00Jul 1, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?$5.29Jul 1, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.78Jul 1, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$80.19Jul 1, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$122.94Jul 1, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19.11Jul 1, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$200.93Jul 1, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $47.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.