Muted-Conga
0xa06e344d783755e301702b33ac2772eccb0eeba4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$15.40
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$83.38
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.40
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 12?
1309 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 12?
776 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 19?
502 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-89.13
- YES
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
497 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 19?
432 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-168.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 19?
400 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 22?
379 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-18.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 19?
315 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-57.68
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
225 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.87May 23, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.00May 23, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.27May 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$13.16May 23, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.59May 23, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.30May 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.32May 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.60May 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$16.69May 22, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$16.91May 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$4.23May 19, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$15.77May 19, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$4.78May 19, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$28.00May 3, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$2.50May 1, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.94May 1, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$8.22May 1, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$6.17May 1, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$3.61May 1, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?$0.03Apr 1, 01:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 01:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".