Violet-Liver
0xa079f116ed2fa0538bb62713d344f137f3b2031d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$31.02
Total PnL
$-94.86
Realised
$0.98
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 7?
16 shares @ 37.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$5.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 7?
17 shares @ 29.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 7?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$3.56
$0.56
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 8?
143 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$2.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on July 8?
823 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$2.47
$-7.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 7?
38 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.69
$0.44
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 8?
207 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$1.65
$-4.35
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 8?
58 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$1.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?
10 shares @ 14.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.60
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 7?
8 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.56
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 6?$0.02Jul 6, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 6?$0.00Jul 6, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?$1.04Jul 6, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?$9.01Jul 6, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 8?$2.10Jul 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 8?$1.05Jul 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 8?$2.10Jul 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 8?$1.05Jul 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on July 8?$5.24Jul 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 8?$5.24Jul 6, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on July 8?$5.25Jul 6, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?$1.89Jul 6, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?$0.68Jul 6, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?$1.12Jul 6, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?$1.05Jul 6, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 6?$0.35Jul 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 6?$0.48Jul 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?$0.86Jul 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?$1.05Jul 6, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?$3.14Jul 6, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.