Considerate-Poncho
0xa07a07e4dc93492a4c6f1ca7f83707c16acf78ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-492.01
Realised
$44.15
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4AM ET
1481 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-73.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
698 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-272.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
308 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
286 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
264 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-39.66
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
43 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
6 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$38.45Mar 1, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$25.46Feb 25, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.65Feb 25, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$185.00Feb 25, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.00Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$132.70Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Feb 25, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Feb 25, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5AM ET$8.89Feb 25, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$6.71Feb 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$4.56Feb 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.55Feb 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$11.38Feb 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$10.47Feb 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$20.19Feb 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.78Feb 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$2.55Feb 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$20.00Feb 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$8.49Feb 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$46.00Feb 25, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".