Thin-Sympathy
0xa083b06590e51f85e7b7dee45f7f841dc7c41309
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-89.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMoltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?$31.87Feb 2, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?$26.17Feb 2, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?$3.01Dec 14, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?$20.34Dec 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on December 10?$70.00Dec 10, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?$26.00Dec 1, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?$0.65Nov 29, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?$50.00Oct 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$27.69Jul 6, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLCluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025$98.63Jul 6, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?$1.00Jul 6, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?$18.62Jul 3, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025$68.02Jun 19, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLCluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025$4.23Jun 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025$4.29Jun 17, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$18.33Jun 4, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?$18.26May 21, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?$10.00May 17, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNDP member appointed to the Canadian cabinet?$1.08May 17, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNDP member appointed to the Canadian cabinet?$1.00May 14, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $24.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.