Insidious-Workhorse
0xa084157a716e34b9e5cf9e05708f7a4be5fdd389
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$983.17
Total PnL
$2.06
Realised
$5.88
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
105 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.91
$-0.10
- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
105 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.75
$-0.26
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
105 shares @ 98.9¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.64
$-1.37
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
98 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.73
$-0.26
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
80 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.95
$-0.01
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
78 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.06
$0.08
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
79 shares @ 98.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$76.65
$-1.33
- NO
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
52 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
52 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.02
$0.03
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$51.94
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$26.03Jun 14, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$18.03Jun 14, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$26.00Jun 14, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$26.03Jun 14, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$26.00Jun 14, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$7.97Jun 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.98Jun 14, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$2.98Jun 14, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$26.03Jun 14, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$26.00Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$26.00Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$11.09Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.97Jun 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.97Jun 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$26.00Jun 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.97Jun 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$26.02Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$26.03Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$52.12Jun 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$26.00Jun 13, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.