Upset-Ebook
0xa08ed2459c27fb4cd0c724e11ad3d92642603559
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-194.39
Win rate
0%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
787 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-143.40
- UNDER
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
586 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-357.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
454 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-235.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
363 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-355.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
256 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-125.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
242 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-127.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
242 shares @ 67.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-163.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
238 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
215 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
198 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$9.23Jul 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$9.04Jul 17, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$7.59Jul 17, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$7.59Jul 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$6.09Jul 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.57Jul 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.12Jul 17, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.12Jul 17, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$14.77Jul 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$13.11Jul 17, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$13.16Jul 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$7.04Jul 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.03Jul 17, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$12.00Jul 17, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$9.16Jul 17, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
40 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $22.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 13:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.