Fat-Choice
0xa091b409c31afc3d9e306b537493f17c9599b117
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?$1.19Apr 30, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?$1.31Apr 30, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Timberwolves$150.66Apr 26, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Senators$234.79Apr 26, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Senators$130.90Apr 25, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$74.97Apr 25, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$199.58Apr 25, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Utah$70.90Apr 25, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Utah$35.28Apr 24, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$113.26Apr 24, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Senators$74.57Apr 24, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Bruins$83.31Apr 24, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Senators$36.36Apr 23, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Bruins$42.29Apr 23, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Pistons$116.23Apr 23, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flyers$32.05Apr 22, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons$91.26Apr 22, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Celtics$31.40Apr 22, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMUtah vs. Golden Knights$94.36Apr 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUtah vs. Golden Knights$19.78Apr 21, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $46.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.