Bowed-Compliance
0xa09298d684699881cefcc30c7e99a5df08c5fb1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Trump win 1 swing state?
5351 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
4584 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
2990 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
2185 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump win 2 swing states?
2049 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump win no swing states?
1818 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
1390 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-230.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?
820 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win South Carolina Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$30.00Nov 5, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 2.0%-3.0%?$20.00Nov 5, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 1.0%-2.0%?$20.00Nov 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 0%-1.0%?$20.00Nov 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%? $20.00Nov 5, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 2.0-3.0%? $20.00Nov 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more? $20.00Nov 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $50.00Nov 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 5, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI $40.00Nov 5, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have between 205 and 209 seats in House after election?$40.00Nov 5, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have between 200 and 204 seats in House after election?$60.00Nov 5, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have fewer than 200 seats in House after election?$40.00Nov 5, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?$20.00Nov 5, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?$60.00Nov 5, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?$40.00Nov 5, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $142.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.