Fortunate-Derivative
0xa093cbe81554a256d337cf69c6bbbc00b84e7e5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.94
Total PnL
$-3.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.94
$1.94
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
17 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.46
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.01Dec 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$0.12Dec 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$5.00Nov 5, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13.99Nov 5, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by December 31?$8.00Aug 7, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.46Jul 24, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released by August 31?$2.47Jul 24, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 31?$2.58Jul 24, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$0.22Jul 24, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$1.71Jul 5, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by December 31?$7.00Jul 5, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$1.00Jul 5, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$4.83Jul 5, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?$2.62Jul 5, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$0.00Jul 5, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$1.00Jul 1, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Jul 1, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.00Jul 1, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Jul 1, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Jul 1, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 11:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.