Fresh-Constraint
0xa0946c0881c8a027699879d5dc62a1531c1c0719
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$50.00
Total PnL
$-320.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- $4000
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$50.00
$30.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
4276 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Ethereum above $2,500 on September 27?
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran strike on US military before November?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$143.63Oct 5, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$10.00Oct 2, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military before November?$10.00Oct 2, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran by end of 2024?$10.00Oct 2, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$20.00Sep 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on September 27?$50.00Sep 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$100.00Sep 3, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$100.00Sep 3, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$10.00Sep 3, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$150.00Sep 3, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$10.00Sep 3, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $55.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 16:45 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 5, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".