Limited-Marines
0xa09a357cb3c085bc60f95e5499f963d66c7d15b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-124.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on January 26?
197 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 9AM ET
194 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?
192 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 1?
184 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 24?
165 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.62
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
157 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 24?
150 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 25, 5AM ET
141 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?
140 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 2?
139 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 15?$151.25Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 15?$150.04Jul 14, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 1?$2.76Jun 30, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$147.42Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$143.88Jun 1, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 23?$165.00May 23, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 23?$163.68May 22, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$176.78May 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$174.31May 10, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 19?$130.71Apr 30, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 19?$128.88Apr 18, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?$137.62Apr 13, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?$134.73Apr 11, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on April 5?$1.44Apr 6, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 31?$156.87Apr 6, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 27?$0.00Mar 31, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.71Mar 31, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 31?$155.14Mar 30, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 21?$0.00Mar 30, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 29?$1.90Mar 29, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $45.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.