Frigid-Platform
0xa09c4da5e4884dccd784d095e1a78ca69b051e8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$12.75
Total PnL
$-75.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
300 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.75
$-1.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 2?
500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 2?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 3?
300 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 3?
260 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-27.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 2?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 8?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 7?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 8?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 8?$1.23May 9, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 8?$1.82May 9, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?$2.25May 9, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?$5.56May 9, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on May 7?$1.05May 8, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?$1.52May 8, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 8?$1.01May 7, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 8?$1.02May 7, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 8?$1.02May 7, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or higher on May 8?$1.02May 7, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?$1.02May 7, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?$1.00May 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?$1.01May 7, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 8?$1.02May 7, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?$1.04May 7, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?$1.03May 7, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on May 7?$1.05May 7, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?$1.16May 7, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 6?$1.54May 7, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?$2.27May 7, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.