Tricky-Capitalism
0xa09cdecdb81306e089d592f651632d7de111e0c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.92
Realised
$-1.03
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
3319 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 8?
214 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 8?
90 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
65 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
31 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 12PM ET
30 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
15 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?$0.00Jan 9, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?$0.00Jan 9, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$0.00Jan 9, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$0.00Jan 9, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$0.00Jan 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$4.00Jan 8, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$2.00Jan 8, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 8?$4.00Jan 8, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$1.00Jan 8, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.30Jan 8, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$1.82Jan 8, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$2.00Jan 8, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$8.71Jan 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$3.00Jan 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$2.00Jan 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?$1.00Jan 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$3.00Jan 8, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$3.00Jan 8, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?$3.00Jan 8, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?$3.00Jan 8, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 03:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".