Babyish-Beancurd
0xa0a751a871592c3c3d7262c086a6e4a40244f3c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-689.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 10?
1360 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
1184 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-19.72
- YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
638 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
565 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-248.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 10?
496 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
181 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 10?
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
133 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-101.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?
67 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$30.00Feb 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$30.29Feb 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$108.54Feb 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$108.55Feb 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$140.10Feb 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$139.83Feb 19, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$100.00Feb 6, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$101.00Feb 6, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$150.00Feb 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$351.27Feb 6, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$0.00Feb 5, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$0.00Feb 5, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$0.00Feb 4, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$0.00Feb 4, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$266.35Feb 3, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$20.00Feb 3, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$70.42Feb 3, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$215.18Feb 3, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 10, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$50.00Jan 10, 06:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $139.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.