Uncommon-Cenotaph
0xa0a7852873a314f6077dcc6ce67b504fce6cc141
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$108.04
Total PnL
$-51.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of July 6 above $340?
93 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$93.09
$0.09
- NO
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.35
$-0.17
- KT WIZ
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz
7 shares @ 61.0¢·now 49.9¢·exp May 14, 2026$3.60
$-0.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 25?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 23?
625 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Solana reach $120 February 9-15?
600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 25?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of July 6 above $340?$93.00Jul 10, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$3.12Jul 10, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of June?$96.17Jul 10, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of June?$96.00Jun 30, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?$70.15Jun 19, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 31?$12.01Jun 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.01Jun 1, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?$70.01May 31, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.00May 31, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?$84.08May 31, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?$84.01May 30, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 31?$12.00May 30, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$95.19May 30, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$95.00May 30, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$95.19May 30, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$95.00May 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$11.52May 28, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$106.21May 28, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$106.01May 27, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?$66.07May 27, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $79.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 05:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.