Afraid-Shower
0xa0b6587527d1243da6e36f48d5cc7696df8c3961
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$19.7K
Total PnL
$479.48
Realised
$3.0K
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
79082 shares @ 14.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.9K
$-3.7K
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
10485 shares @ 28.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.9K
$1.9K
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
7763 shares @ 41.7¢·now 62.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.8K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
9365 shares @ 33.6¢·now 22.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.1K
$-1.1K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
165 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.58
$-4.13
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
420 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.78
$3.99
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
5956 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-948.04
- NO
Will Russia capture Zarichne by March 31, 2026?
1418 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
- NO
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
440 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$125.00Jun 13, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$72.00Jun 13, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$9.00Jun 13, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$108.01Jun 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$152.64Jun 13, 02:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$9.50Jun 12, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$22.18Jun 12, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$40.45Jun 12, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$71.63Jun 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$70.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$70.50Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$7.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$94.40Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$101.41Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$59.30Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$16.38Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$116.40Jun 12, 00:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $80.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.