Young-Reorganisation
0xa0b6aabcce4270b64a3d2d75d1144c3f283a6d7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$61.39
Total PnL
$-261.90
Realised
$128.58
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1588 shares @ 1.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$47.65
$17.65
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
230 shares @ 10.8¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.70
$-11.30
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.03
$-14.98
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
31 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.02
$-9.98
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11615 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-131.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
606 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
323 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
66 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
46 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $39.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.