Agonizing-Audience
0xa0b9223685b07210679a2d8588d09c84b17d148d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-145.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Powell say "Beige Book" during speech on October 14?
110 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-73.60
- RAYS
Rays vs. Twins
84 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-42.06
- PIRATES
Pirates vs. Mariners
63 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-14.40
- CAPITALS
Capitals vs. Sabres
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Bucks vs. Raptors
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
- PACKERS
Panthers vs. Packers
9 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- ANGELS
Angels vs. Blue Jays
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Chicago" during next White House press briefing?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Nov 9, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$45.00Nov 9, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMPenguins vs. Flyers$15.00Nov 3, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMCommanders vs. Chiefs$19.10Nov 3, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMChiefs vs. Bills$100.00Nov 3, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Packers$1.80Nov 2, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYChiefs vs. Bills$46.00Nov 2, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Sabres$3.40Nov 2, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Sabres$1.20Nov 2, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flyers$2.35Oct 29, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flyers$6.00Oct 29, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flyers$4.10Oct 28, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flyers$0.95Oct 28, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flyers$1.90Oct 28, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Chiefs$4.00Oct 28, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMOilers vs. Canucks$6.00Oct 28, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Kings$15.00Oct 28, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Chiefs$4.00Oct 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Chiefs$2.40Oct 28, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Chiefs$4.50Oct 28, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 02:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.