Guilty-Oeuvre
0xa0ba402df0203bb95eb5d23532285709da88b2f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$518.07
Total PnL
$-7.32
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
204 shares @ 97.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$195.91
$-4.09
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.55
$0.55
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
56 shares @ 95.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.52
$0.52
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
11 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 91.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$5.04Jun 14, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$5.11Jun 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$5.08Jun 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?$200.21Jun 14, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$3.06Jun 14, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$3.06Jun 14, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$10.02Jun 14, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$3.22Jun 14, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$10.03Jun 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.09Jun 14, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$50.32Jun 14, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$100.48Jun 14, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$0.00Jun 14, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$513.92Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$0.01Jun 14, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$70.19Jun 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$50.36Jun 14, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$10.05Jun 14, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $23.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.