Pessimistic-Brunch
0xa0bcca5046c4e095a399322cf4c952ceb43e0d48
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$54.26
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$107.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
211 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$30.21
$-9.79
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
85 shares @ 47.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.94
$-31.06
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.83
$-13.17
- NO
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
2701 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$6.75
$-43.25
- YES
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.38
$-18.62
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.15
$-49.85
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
20000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 18?
1262 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his announcement on September 2?
475 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$128.21Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$51.24Jun 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$50.91Jun 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$210.57Jun 13, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$101.65Jun 13, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$102.31Jun 13, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay to score first vs. United States?$101.92Jun 13, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$101.59Jun 13, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$108.70Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMBosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada?$151.52Jun 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$14.95Jun 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$51.20Jun 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada?$51.00Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$50.81Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$41.44Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$18.05Jun 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$49.66Jun 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$102.56Jun 12, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $88.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.