Personal-Microwave
0xa0c005e435cc420334bbc3300473b2ea0ac35adc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.8K
Realised
$-93.61
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
2199 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-599.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
1405 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-743.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
1323 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-617.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
1080 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-468.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
934 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-380.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
915 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-380.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
855 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-427.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
810 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-453.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
772 shares @ 55.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-426.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
750 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-332.07
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$6.09Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.46Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$722.95Jul 20, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$768.03Jul 20, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.91Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$3.05Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$9.16Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$2.80Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.15Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$2.80Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$15.12Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$6.36Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$22.40Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$81.77Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$2.93Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$10.08Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.14Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$139.44Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$4.25Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$4.24Jul 20, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $53.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 04:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.