Frayed-Republican
0xa0d99cc221e8b9ddc8e069e9dd66f42bd473ce11
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-124.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
200 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will James Cameron be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
135 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
116 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
103 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
100 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?
70 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- YES
Will Lee Byung-hun be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
63 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
56 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Park Chan-wook be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.90Mar 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.10Feb 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$25.00Feb 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Feb 19, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$35.72Jan 22, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.50Jan 18, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Jan 17, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Byung-hun be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Jan 16, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Chan-wook be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Jan 16, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$22.00Jan 16, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$22.00Jan 16, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Jan 16, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.00Jan 15, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 15, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Cameron be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Jan 15, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.00Jan 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$15.00Jan 15, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $9.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.