Outlying-Sonata
0xa0e1333a4d6cca9f053404533383d315db12d6f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.4K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
44%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?
5500 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?
5352 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-725.04
- YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?
4979 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-248.61
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
4208 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-411.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
4208 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-73.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
4208 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-8.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
4208 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-744.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
4208 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-43.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
4207 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-218.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
4207 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-177.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Democrats win no elections in Nov?$0.16Nov 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats win no elections in Nov?$0.01Nov 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats win no elections in Nov?$0.00Nov 11, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the California redistricting referendum not pass?$0.11Nov 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats win no elections in Nov?$0.10Nov 7, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$0.04Nov 7, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$0.01Nov 7, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$0.01Nov 7, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$0.01Nov 7, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$0.05Nov 7, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$0.02Nov 7, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$0.01Nov 7, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$0.02Nov 7, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$0.01Nov 7, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$0.03Nov 7, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$0.08Nov 7, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$0.02Nov 7, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$0.01Nov 7, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?$0.01Nov 7, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?$1.00Nov 6, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".