Sarcastic-Excellence
0xa0e4546f26ddc4bb7d0827e94be717f17b9d8048
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.8K
Realised
$180.91
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
88467 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?
15000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
2400 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-993.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
2200 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
2120 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-996.40
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?
2000 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
1800 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-52.20
- YES
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
1700 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
1400 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-500.50
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
1378 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-489.07
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.