Wallet digest

active

Activity score

75/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$381.97

Total PnL

$-1.3K

Realised

$-416.50

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

NO
Will Solana reach $90 in July?
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026
$176.01
$76.01
NO
Will Solana reach $100 in July?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026
$122.63
$22.63
NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026
$83.33
$-16.67
NO
US-China trade deal before June?
1000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025
$0.00
$-350.11
NO
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?
400 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025
$0.00
$-211.00
NO
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025
$0.00
$-150.00
NO
Will Solana dip to $160 by February 28 2025?
200 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025
$0.00
$-84.00
YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 March 16-22?
140 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026
$0.00
$-9.99
NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
135 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026
$0.00
$-100.00
NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025
$0.00
$-84.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$103.43Jul 14, 13:22 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$101.04Jul 13, 01:31 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in July?$101.40Jul 2, 09:51 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 in July?$103.22Jul 2, 09:51 UTC
REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 in June?$638.76Jul 1, 06:11 UTC
REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$111.11Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?$203.37Jun 30, 23:06 UTC
REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?$116.28Jun 30, 23:02 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?$200.13Jun 26, 23:37 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$79.38Jun 18, 13:52 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$100.68Jun 16, 07:13 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$212.85Jun 15, 09:28 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 in June?$300.91Jun 15, 09:26 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 in June?$100.21Jun 11, 23:50 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$100.44Jun 11, 23:49 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?$100.56Jun 10, 23:40 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 in June?$100.42Jun 8, 11:36 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$100.40Jun 8, 11:35 UTC
REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on June 6?$102.30Jun 7, 07:39 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 in June?$100.95Jun 4, 03:52 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100

read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal

review

33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.

Resolved-only track record

block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity49 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry50 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk69 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 33
Avg trade size: $161.07
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 17, 00:38 UTC
Last active: Jul 14, 13:22 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:01:51 UTC·src:Polymarket Data