Pleased-Spotlight
0xa0e7dc9e0e5f0aff68dc4e634fcf7bf218b35872
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-691.21
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- WEST INDIES
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africa
10098 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-302.95
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
7730 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-449.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7?
3864 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- PAKISTAN
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)
1705 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-272.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
748 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-149.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
612 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-198.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
97 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?$0.34Mar 17, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?$187.04Mar 17, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?$16.80Mar 17, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?$44.24Mar 17, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$142.60Mar 17, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?$252.25Mar 17, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$219.26Mar 17, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$33.22Mar 17, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$62.59Mar 17, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$1.86Mar 17, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$79.05Mar 17, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$51.61Mar 17, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$48.39Mar 17, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$0.49Mar 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$148.00Mar 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$8.36Mar 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$41.10Mar 10, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$32.74Mar 10, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$36.78Mar 10, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$0.01Mar 10, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $30.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.