Splendid-Thermometer
0xa0eb88175773853369907d6c0af05f854b32e702
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-567.31
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
8978 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2?
916 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?
877 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
- YES
Will Player 172 win Beast Games: Season 2?
858 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
735 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$157.42Mar 1, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$157.42Mar 1, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$115.38Feb 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.00Feb 28, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?$116.38Feb 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$9.40Feb 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?$9.40Feb 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?$99.84Feb 28, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL Playoffs$1.19Feb 26, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.20Feb 26, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?$287.23Feb 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?$287.23Feb 26, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?$382.63Feb 26, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?$325.66Feb 26, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?$424.59Feb 26, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?$4.95Feb 26, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?$4.95Feb 26, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?$36.58Feb 26, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?$36.58Feb 26, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?$37.32Feb 26, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $149.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".